Basil Halperin

Essays — Basil Halperin


About: Confidence levels

Confidence level: very high

Written with very high confidence, and on the same level as polished research.

Confidence level: high

Written with substantial confidence, though open to revision.

Confidence level: medium

Written with some confidence, while acknowledging uncertainty and/or the possibility of gaps in my knowledge.

Confidence level: low

This is something I currently believe; but also estimate nontrivial probability that my view will change later.

Confidence level: zero

I don‘t believe this or no longer believe this, in part or in whole.

Confidence level: thinking-out-loud

Thinking out loud; written to clarify my own thinking.

(Adapted from the system of Cameron Harwick.)

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